This project includes code to help select teams for a betting pool for the soccer World Cup 2018 based on some specific team selection constraints.
The developer of this project accepts no responsibility for usage of this code. Using this code for betting purposes is extremely discouraged. If you still decide to use this code you should do so at your own risk.
You can run worldCupPredictor.py directly to see the simulation and picking results
Predictions use a historical predictor that looks at the most recent games in World Cups only. There is much room for improvement here.
Egypt vs. Russia : 1 - 1 (DRAW)
Egypt vs. Saudi Arabia : 1 - 0 (Egypt)
Egypt vs. Uruguay : 1 - 0 (Egypt)
Russia vs. Saudi Arabia : 1 - 0 (Russia)
Russia vs. Uruguay : 1 - 0 (Russia)
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay : 0 - 0 (DRAW)
| Team | ★ | P | W | L | D | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | winner |
| Egypt | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | runner up |
| Uruguay | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Saudi Arabia | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Iran vs. Morocco : 0 - 1 (Morocco)
Iran vs. Portugal : 0 - 2 (Portugal)
Iran vs. Spain : 0 - 1 (Spain)
Morocco vs. Portugal : 0 - 1 (Portugal)
Morocco vs. Spain : 1 - 1 (DRAW)
Portugal vs. Spain : 0 - 1 (Spain)
| Team | ★ | P | W | L | D | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | winner |
| Portugal | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | runner up |
| Morocco | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
| Iran | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Australia vs. Denmark : 1 - 1 (DRAW)
Australia vs. France : 0 - 1 (France)
Australia vs. Peru : 1 - 2 (Peru)
Denmark vs. France : 2 - 0 (Denmark)
Denmark vs. Peru : 1 - 1 (DRAW)
France vs. Peru : 1 - 0 (France)
| Team | ★ | P | W | L | D | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | winner |
| Denmark | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | runner up |
| Peru | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | |
| Australia | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Argentina vs. Croatia : 1 - 0 (Argentina)
Argentina vs. Iceland : 2 - 0 (Argentina)
Argentina vs. Nigeria : 1 - 0 (Argentina)
Croatia vs. Iceland : 1 - 1 (DRAW)
Croatia vs. Nigeria : 1 - 1 (DRAW)
Iceland vs. Nigeria : 1 - 1 (DRAW)
| Team | ★ | P | W | L | D | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | winner |
| Croatia | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | runner up |
| Nigeria | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | |
| Iceland | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Brazil vs. Costa Rica : 1 - 0 (Brazil)
Brazil vs. Switzerland : 1 - 0 (Brazil)
Brazil vs. Serbia : 1 - 0 (Brazil)
Costa Rica vs. Switzerland : 0 - 1 (Switzerland)
Costa Rica vs. Serbia : 0 - 1 (Serbia)
Switzerland vs. Serbia : 0 - 0 (DRAW)
| Team | ★ | P | W | L | D | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | winner |
| Switzerland | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | runner up |
| Serbia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Costa Rica | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Germany vs. South Korea : 3 - 2 (Germany)
Germany vs. Mexico : 2 - 1 (Germany)
Germany vs. Sweden : 2 - 0 (Germany)
South Korea vs. Mexico : 1 - 3 (Mexico)
South Korea vs. Sweden : 1 - 1 (DRAW)
Mexico vs. Sweden : 1 - 1 (DRAW)
| Team | ★ | P | W | L | D | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | winner |
| Mexico | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | runner up |
| Sweden | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| South Korea | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
Belgium vs. England : 1 - 1 (DRAW)
Belgium vs. Panama : 1 - 1 (DRAW)
Belgium vs. Tunisia : 1 - 0 (Belgium)
England vs. Panama : 1 - 1 (DRAW)
England vs. Tunisia : 1 - 0 (England)
Panama vs. Tunisia : 1 - 0 (Panama)
| Team | ★ | P | W | L | D | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | winner |
| England | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | runner up |
| Panama | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |
| Tunisia | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Columbia vs. Japan : 1 - 1 (DRAW)
Columbia vs. Poland : 1 - 1 (DRAW)
Columbia vs. Senegal : 1 - 1 (DRAW)
Japan vs. Poland : 1 - 1 (DRAW)
Japan vs. Senegal : 1 - 1 (DRAW)
Poland vs. Senegal : 1 - 1 (DRAW)
| Team | ★ | P | W | L | D | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | winner |
| Poland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | runner up |
| Senegal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | |
| Japan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Russia vs. Portugal : 0 - 1 (Portugal)
France vs. Croatia : 2 - 1 (France)
Brazil vs. Mexico : 1 - 0 (Brazil)
Belgium vs. Poland : 2 - 1 (Belgium)
Spain vs. Egypt : 2 - 1 (Spain)
Argentina vs. Denmark : 1 - 0 (Argentina)
Germany vs. Switzerland : 1 - 0 (Germany)
Columbia vs. England : 1 - 2 (England)
Portugal vs. France : 0 - 1 (France)
Brazil vs. Belgium : 2 - 0 (Brazil)
Spain vs. Argentina : 0 - 1 (Argentina)
Germany vs. England : 4 - 1 (Germany)
France vs. Brazil : 1 - 0 (France)
Argentina vs. Germany : 0 - 4 (Germany)
Brazil vs. Argentina : 2 - 1 (Brazil)
France vs. Germany : 0 - 1 (Germany)
| Position | Team |
|---|---|
| Champion | Germany |
| Runner Up | France |
| Third | Brazil |
Here are the picks based on the history (primary) and cost-based (secondary) predictors:
| Group | Team | Score | Cost (£m) | Score/Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group A | Egypt | 23 | £4 | 5.75 |
| Group A | Russia | 22 | £16 | 1.38 |
| Group B | Morocco | 9 | £2 | 4.5 |
| Group B | Portugal | 28 | £31 | 0.90 |
| Group C | Denmark | 20 | £9 | 2.22 |
| Group C | Peru | 10 | £5 | 2.00 |
| Group D | Iceland | 2 | £5 | 0.40 |
| Group D | Nigeria | 4 | £5 | 0.80 |
| Group E | Switzerland | 11 | £9 | 1.22 |
| Group E | Serbia | 8 | £5 | 1.60 |
| Group F | Germany | 93 | £99 | 0.94 |
| Group F | Mexico | 17 | £9 | 1.89 |
| Group G | England | 23 | £33 | 0.70 |
| Group G | Panama | 14 | £1 | 14.00 |
| Group H | Japan | 9 | £3 | 3.00 |
| Group H | Poland | 13 | £11 | 1.18 |
| Total | 306 | £247 |