diff --git a/aquatics.html b/aquatics.html index 0a648b20a..1594d53cd 100644 --- a/aquatics.html +++ b/aquatics.html @@ -194,8 +194,8 @@

On this page

This map shows the NEON sites with and their CRPS score relative to the climatology model for the seven day ahead forecast, indicated by color. The size of each bubble shows the percent of models which are more skilled than climatology. Included in each site description is the site name, site type, number of models submitted, and the number of models that are more skilled than climatology. We define a skillful model as having a lower CRPS forecast score than the climatology model.

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These plots show the percent of skillful water temperature forecasts over the thirty day forecast horizon. The first plot shows the percent of skillful forecasts over for NEON lake sites and river sites separately.

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Forecasts

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Forecasts

Leaderboard

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Average skill scores of each model across all sites. Scores are shown by reference date and forecast horizon (in days). Scores are averaged across all submissions of the model with a given horizon or a given reference_datetime out of submissions made since the cutoff date, 2023-06-05.

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Average skill scores of each model across all sites. Scores are shown by reference date and forecast horizon (in days). Scores are averaged across all submissions of the model with a given horizon or a given reference_datetime out of submissions made since the cutoff date, 2023-06-06.

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Leaderboard

Submission statistics

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Between 2023-06-05 and 2023-09-03:

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Between 2023-06-06 and 2023-09-04:

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Long-term patterns

Here we look at some long term patterns in the median scores across all models. Are some months more predictable than others? Note that logs score penalties for observations that fall outside expected ranges are much higher than CRPS penalties.

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On this page

Forecasts

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These plots show forecasts that were submitted on 2023-05-06 for which we have at least 10 observations.
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These plots show forecasts that were submitted on 2023-05-07 for which we have at least 10 observations.
Models which did not submit a forecast on the given reference date are not shown.

richness

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richness

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abundance

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Leaderboard

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Leaderboard

Submission statistics

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Between 2023-05-06 and 2023-09-03:

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Between 2023-05-07 and 2023-09-04:

  • 19 models have submitted a total of 333 forecasts to this challenge
diff --git a/beetles_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-20-1.png b/beetles_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-20-1.png index 4680f2205..3366095bf 100644 Binary files a/beetles_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-20-1.png and b/beetles_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-20-1.png differ diff --git a/phenology.html b/phenology.html index d8f39984a..8e4109af9 100644 --- a/phenology.html +++ b/phenology.html @@ -190,24 +190,24 @@

Forecasts

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Leaderboard

Scores are averaged across all submissions of the model with a given horizon or a given reference_datetime out of submissions made since the cutoff.

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Submission statistics

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Between 2023-08-04 and 2023-09-03:

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Between 2023-08-05 and 2023-09-04:

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  • 17 models have submitted a total of 997 forecasts to this challenge
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  • 17 models have submitted a total of 998 forecasts to this challenge
diff --git a/phenology_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-9-1.png b/phenology_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-9-1.png index c6e93744d..ee160cc28 100644 Binary files a/phenology_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-9-1.png and b/phenology_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-9-1.png differ diff --git a/search.json b/search.json index e690458d6..34a900965 100644 --- a/search.json +++ b/search.json @@ -11,14 +11,14 @@ "href": "ticks.html", "title": "Ticks", "section": "", - "text": "These plots show forecasts that were submitted on 2023-05-06 for which we have at least 10 observations.\nModels which did not submit a forecast on the given reference date are not shown.\n\n\n\nSites 1 - 3Sites 4 - 6Sites 7 - 9" + "text": "These plots show forecasts that were submitted on 2023-05-07 for which we have at least 10 observations.\nModels which did not submit a forecast on the given reference date are not shown.\n\n\n\nSites 1 - 3Sites 4 - 6Sites 7 - 9" }, { "objectID": "ticks.html#forecasts", "href": "ticks.html#forecasts", "title": "Ticks", "section": "", - "text": "These plots show forecasts that were submitted on 2023-05-06 for which we have at least 10 observations.\nModels which did not submit a forecast on the given reference date are not shown.\n\n\n\nSites 1 - 3Sites 4 - 6Sites 7 - 9" + "text": "These plots show forecasts that were submitted on 2023-05-07 for which we have at least 10 observations.\nModels which did not submit a forecast on the given reference date are not shown.\n\n\n\nSites 1 - 3Sites 4 - 6Sites 7 - 9" }, { "objectID": "ticks.html#leaderboard", @@ -32,21 +32,21 @@ "href": "ticks.html#submission-statistics", "title": "Ticks", "section": "Submission statistics", - "text": "Submission statistics\nBetween 2023-05-06 and 2023-09-03:\n\n16 models have submitted a total of 280 forecasts to this challenge" + "text": "Submission statistics\nBetween 2023-05-07 and 2023-09-04:\n\n16 models have submitted a total of 280 forecasts to this challenge" }, { "objectID": "status.html", "href": "status.html", "title": "Status", "section": "", - "text": "Met DataPhenology DataAquatics DataTerrestrial Data (30min)Terrestrial Data (Daily)Ticks DataBeetles DataAutomated Jobs\n\n\nNOAA related processes:\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nForecasts submitted over the last week: 109\nForecasts submitted over the last month: 519\nForecasts submitted over the last year: 3654\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 6250\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nForecasts submitted over the last week: 206\nForecasts submitted over the last month: 1175\nForecasts submitted over the last year: 9260\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 9562\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nThirty minute forecasts submitted over the last week: 0\nThirty minute forecasts submitted over the last month: 0\nThirty minute forecasts submitted over the last year: 543\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 726\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nDaily forecasts submitted over the last week: 103\nDaily forecasts submitted over the last month: 490\nDaily forecasts submitted over the last year: 3490\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 3887\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nForecasts submitted over the last week: 14\nForecasts submitted over the last month: 56\nForecasts submitted over the last year: 335\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 398\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nForecasts submitted over the last week: 14\nForecasts submitted over the last month: 59\nForecasts submitted over the last year: 390\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 402" + "text": "Met DataPhenology DataAquatics DataTerrestrial Data (30min)Terrestrial Data (Daily)Ticks DataBeetles DataAutomated Jobs\n\n\nNOAA related processes:\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nForecasts submitted over the last week: 109\nForecasts submitted over the last month: 519\nForecasts submitted over the last year: 3670\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 6268\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nForecasts submitted over the last week: 206\nForecasts submitted over the last month: 1164\nForecasts submitted over the last year: 9293\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 9599\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nThirty minute forecasts submitted over the last week: 0\nThirty minute forecasts submitted over the last month: 0\nThirty minute forecasts submitted over the last year: 542\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 726\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nDaily forecasts submitted over the last week: 103\nDaily forecasts submitted over the last month: 490\nDaily forecasts submitted over the last year: 3505\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 3904\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nForecasts submitted over the last week: 0\nForecasts submitted over the last month: 56\nForecasts submitted over the last year: 335\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 398\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nForecasts submitted over the last week: 0\nForecasts submitted over the last month: 59\nForecasts submitted over the last year: 390\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 402" }, { "objectID": "status.html#data-and-forecasts", "href": "status.html#data-and-forecasts", "title": "Status", "section": "", - "text": "Met DataPhenology DataAquatics DataTerrestrial Data (30min)Terrestrial Data (Daily)Ticks DataBeetles DataAutomated Jobs\n\n\nNOAA related processes:\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nForecasts submitted over the last week: 109\nForecasts submitted over the last month: 519\nForecasts submitted over the last year: 3654\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 6250\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nForecasts submitted over the last week: 206\nForecasts submitted over the last month: 1175\nForecasts submitted over the last year: 9260\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 9562\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nThirty minute forecasts submitted over the last week: 0\nThirty minute forecasts submitted over the last month: 0\nThirty minute forecasts submitted over the last year: 543\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 726\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nDaily forecasts submitted over the last week: 103\nDaily forecasts submitted over the last month: 490\nDaily forecasts submitted over the last year: 3490\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 3887\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nForecasts submitted over the last week: 14\nForecasts submitted over the last month: 56\nForecasts submitted over the last year: 335\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 398\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nForecasts submitted over the last week: 14\nForecasts submitted over the last month: 59\nForecasts submitted over the last year: 390\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 402" + "text": "Met DataPhenology DataAquatics DataTerrestrial Data (30min)Terrestrial Data (Daily)Ticks DataBeetles DataAutomated Jobs\n\n\nNOAA related processes:\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nForecasts submitted over the last week: 109\nForecasts submitted over the last month: 519\nForecasts submitted over the last year: 3670\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 6268\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nForecasts submitted over the last week: 206\nForecasts submitted over the last month: 1164\nForecasts submitted over the last year: 9293\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 9599\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nThirty minute forecasts submitted over the last week: 0\nThirty minute forecasts submitted over the last month: 0\nThirty minute forecasts submitted over the last year: 542\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 726\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nDaily forecasts submitted over the last week: 103\nDaily forecasts submitted over the last month: 490\nDaily forecasts submitted over the last year: 3505\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 3904\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nForecasts submitted over the last week: 0\nForecasts submitted over the last month: 56\nForecasts submitted over the last year: 335\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 398\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nForecasts submitted over the last week: 0\nForecasts submitted over the last month: 59\nForecasts submitted over the last year: 390\nTotal Forecasts submitted: 402" }, { "objectID": "index.html", @@ -88,21 +88,21 @@ "href": "phenology.html#submission-statistics", "title": "Phenology", "section": "Submission statistics", - "text": "Submission statistics\nBetween 2023-08-04 and 2023-09-03:\n\n17 models have submitted a total of 997 forecasts to this challenge" + "text": "Submission statistics\nBetween 2023-08-05 and 2023-09-04:\n\n17 models have submitted a total of 998 forecasts to this challenge" }, { "objectID": "beetles.html", "href": "beetles.html", "title": "Beetles", "section": "", - "text": "These plots show forecasts that were submitted on 2023-05-06 for which we have at least 10 observations.\nModels which did not submit a forecast on the given reference date are not shown.\n\n\n\nSites 1 - 8Sites 9 - 16Sites 17 - 24Sites 25 - 32Sites 33 - 40Sites 41 - 47\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nSites 1 - 8Sites 9 - 16Sites 17 - 24Sites 25 - 32Sites 33 - 40Sites 41 - 47" + "text": "These plots show forecasts that were submitted on 2023-05-07 for which we have at least 10 observations.\nModels which did not submit a forecast on the given reference date are not shown.\n\n\n\nSites 1 - 8Sites 9 - 16Sites 17 - 24Sites 25 - 32Sites 33 - 40Sites 41 - 47\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nSites 1 - 8Sites 9 - 16Sites 17 - 24Sites 25 - 32Sites 33 - 40Sites 41 - 47" }, { "objectID": "beetles.html#forecasts", "href": "beetles.html#forecasts", "title": "Beetles", "section": "", - "text": "These plots show forecasts that were submitted on 2023-05-06 for which we have at least 10 observations.\nModels which did not submit a forecast on the given reference date are not shown.\n\n\n\nSites 1 - 8Sites 9 - 16Sites 17 - 24Sites 25 - 32Sites 33 - 40Sites 41 - 47\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nSites 1 - 8Sites 9 - 16Sites 17 - 24Sites 25 - 32Sites 33 - 40Sites 41 - 47" + "text": "These plots show forecasts that were submitted on 2023-05-07 for which we have at least 10 observations.\nModels which did not submit a forecast on the given reference date are not shown.\n\n\n\nSites 1 - 8Sites 9 - 16Sites 17 - 24Sites 25 - 32Sites 33 - 40Sites 41 - 47\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nSites 1 - 8Sites 9 - 16Sites 17 - 24Sites 25 - 32Sites 33 - 40Sites 41 - 47" }, { "objectID": "beetles.html#leaderboard", @@ -116,7 +116,7 @@ "href": "beetles.html#submission-statistics", "title": "Beetles", "section": "Submission statistics", - "text": "Submission statistics\nBetween 2023-05-06 and 2023-09-03:\n\n19 models have submitted a total of 333 forecasts to this challenge" + "text": "Submission statistics\nBetween 2023-05-07 and 2023-09-04:\n\n19 models have submitted a total of 333 forecasts to this challenge" }, { "objectID": "noaa.html", @@ -144,7 +144,7 @@ "href": "terrestrial.html", "title": "Terrestrial", "section": "", - "text": "These plots show the most recently submitted forecast (a single reference_datetime) for which we have at least 10 observations.\nModels which did not submit a forecast on the given reference date are not shown. ::: panel-tabset ## Latent evaporation\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nNet ecosystem exchange of CO2 (NEE)\n\n\n\n\n\n\n:::\n\n\n\nAverage skill scores of each model across all sites.\nScores are shown by reference date and forecast horizon (in days).\nScores are averaged across all submissions of the model with a given horizon or a given reference_datetime out of submissions made since cutoff date.\n\nLatent evaporationCO2 flux\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nBetween 2023-08-04 and 2023-09-03:\n\n18 models have submitted a total of 1006 forecasts to this challenge" + "text": "These plots show the most recently submitted forecast (a single reference_datetime) for which we have at least 10 observations.\nModels which did not submit a forecast on the given reference date are not shown. ::: panel-tabset ## Latent evaporation\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nNet ecosystem exchange of CO2 (NEE)\n\n\n\n\n\n\n:::\n\n\n\nAverage skill scores of each model across all sites.\nScores are shown by reference date and forecast horizon (in days).\nScores are averaged across all submissions of the model with a given horizon or a given reference_datetime out of submissions made since cutoff date.\n\nLatent evaporationCO2 flux\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nBetween 2023-08-05 and 2023-09-04:\n\n17 models have submitted a total of 1005 forecasts to this challenge" }, { "objectID": "terrestrial.html#forecasts", @@ -172,7 +172,7 @@ "href": "terrestrial.html#submission-statistics", "title": "Terrestrial", "section": "", - "text": "Between 2023-08-04 and 2023-09-03:\n\n18 models have submitted a total of 1006 forecasts to this challenge" + "text": "Between 2023-08-05 and 2023-09-04:\n\n17 models have submitted a total of 1005 forecasts to this challenge" }, { "objectID": "aquatics.html", @@ -193,14 +193,14 @@ "href": "aquatics.html#leaderboard", "title": "Aquatics", "section": "Leaderboard", - "text": "Leaderboard\nAverage skill scores of each model across all sites. Scores are shown by reference date and forecast horizon (in days). Scores are averaged across all submissions of the model with a given horizon or a given reference_datetime out of submissions made since the cutoff date, 2023-06-05.\n\nOxygenTemperatureChlorophyll-A" + "text": "Leaderboard\nAverage skill scores of each model across all sites. Scores are shown by reference date and forecast horizon (in days). Scores are averaged across all submissions of the model with a given horizon or a given reference_datetime out of submissions made since the cutoff date, 2023-06-06.\n\nOxygenTemperatureChlorophyll-A" }, { "objectID": "aquatics.html#submission-statistics", "href": "aquatics.html#submission-statistics", "title": "Aquatics", "section": "Submission statistics", - "text": "Submission statistics\nBetween 2023-06-05 and 2023-09-03:\n\n55 models have submitted a total of 3838 forecasts to this challenge" + "text": "Submission statistics\nBetween 2023-06-06 and 2023-09-04:\n\n55 models have submitted a total of 3828 forecasts to this challenge" }, { "objectID": "aquatics.html#long-term-patterns", diff --git a/status.html b/status.html index b250b8353..7e5891aa8 100644 --- a/status.html +++ b/status.html @@ -186,8 +186,8 @@

Data and Forecasts

NOAA related processes:

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Data and Forecasts

  • Forecasts submitted over the last week: 109
  • Forecasts submitted over the last month: 519
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  • Forecasts submitted over the last year: 3654
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  • Total Forecasts submitted: 6250
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  • Forecasts submitted over the last year: 3670
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  • Total Forecasts submitted: 6268

Targets

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Forecasts

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  • Forecasts submitted over the last week: 206
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  • Forecasts submitted over the last month: 1175
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  • Forecasts submitted over the last year: 9260
    • -
  • Total Forecasts submitted: 9562
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  • Forecasts submitted over the last month: 1164
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  • Forecasts submitted over the last year: 9293
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  • Total Forecasts submitted: 9599

Targets

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Forecasts

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Targets

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Targets

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Forecasts

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  • Forecasts submitted over the last week: 14
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  • Forecasts submitted over the last week: 0
  • Forecasts submitted over the last month: 56
  • Forecasts submitted over the last year: 335
  • Total Forecasts submitted: 398
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    Targets

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Forecasts

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  • Forecasts submitted over the last week: 14
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  • Forecasts submitted over the last week: 0
  • Forecasts submitted over the last month: 59
  • Forecasts submitted over the last year: 390
  • Total Forecasts submitted: 402
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    Targets

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diff --git a/terrestrial.html b/terrestrial.html index f1bd623b5..fe5c67bc0 100644 --- a/terrestrial.html +++ b/terrestrial.html @@ -192,8 +192,8 @@

Forecasts

Models which did not submit a forecast on the given reference date are not shown. ::: panel-tabset ## Latent evaporation

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CO2 Flux

Net ecosystem exchange of CO2 (NEE)

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Leaderboard

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Leaderboard

Submission statistics

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Between 2023-08-04 and 2023-09-03:

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Between 2023-08-05 and 2023-09-04:

diff --git a/terrestrial_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-9-1.png b/terrestrial_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-9-1.png index 1e358e273..9d3edbbd2 100644 Binary files a/terrestrial_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-9-1.png and b/terrestrial_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-9-1.png differ diff --git a/ticks.html b/ticks.html index e64ad6adb..616444815 100644 --- a/ticks.html +++ b/ticks.html @@ -185,7 +185,7 @@

On this page

Forecasts

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These plots show forecasts that were submitted on 2023-05-06 for which we have at least 10 observations.
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These plots show forecasts that were submitted on 2023-05-07 for which we have at least 10 observations.
Models which did not submit a forecast on the given reference date are not shown.

Amblyomma americanum

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Amblyomma america
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Leaderboard

Submission statistics

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Between 2023-05-06 and 2023-09-03:

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Between 2023-05-07 and 2023-09-04:

  • 16 models have submitted a total of 280 forecasts to this challenge
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